Friday 18 March 2011

Day 3 was a blow out very tough ,unless you had Deja Vue!!!! with the three winners from 2010 winning again in three consecutive races !

Big fields mark Friday and Day 4
The Triumph Hurdle is a huge field lottery for me, and the second race is a back a couple in the race type of race 27 runners I like DIRAR and ALAVAIN. The 3m Novice is a tough test for novices and stayers are required CHAMPION COURT has course form and trainer in good nick. The Gold Cup is a good renewal with the old taking on the new - but I will stick with last years winner IMPERIAL COMMANDER and GONE TO LUNCH in the foxhunters is maybe more of a sentimental bet as he was one of my fav handicappers. Just when you think it cant get any tougher the last two races are impossible ! I think my old trainer Micky Hammond will get a good run out of HOLLINS his run behind Peddlers Cross was a nice siter for this race. The last race is your get of of jail race and in short you end up with betting more stakes on the toughest handicap than you would normally - for me PIGEON ISLAND, SHOREACRES OISEAU DE NUIT and I hope both my mate Sean Traceys horses run well and come home safe.


The Annual under 4/1 fav rule at Cheltenham UPDATE -
As it stands there are likely to be a number of horses that will run that will be under 4/1 starting price that will be fav at the 2011 festival - in the last three years there have been 46 horses to start as fav that were priced under 4/1 - only 8 have won (Quevega = 25% of the winners total as well !). Many greats have tried and been beaten - so no matter how certain you think you are be careful !

Losers total last three years - 55
Cue Card lost 7/4 (Unplaced)
Medermitt lost 11/4 (Unplaced)
Definity lost 3/1(Unplaced)
So Young 2/1
Time for Rupert 7/4 (Unplaced)
Master Minded 2/1 (Unplaced)
Call the Police 7/2(Unplaced)
Wishful Thinking 7/2
Poquelin 2/1 (Unplaced)




Winners total last three years- 12
Hurricane Fly won 11/4
Quevega won 11/10
Big Bucks 10/11
Junior 10/3

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