Wednesday 16 March 2011

Certainly has a look of the Irish - !!!! 6 winners on day 2 !

The Irish have arrived and are taking home the money ! a nice day for me with three winners and a very unlucky fcast when Orsipus couldnt quite get up for 2nd (16s and 33s!) Cant get over how bad Time for Rupert ran, really shocking and flat run - he can still win a Gold Cup he is much better than that. Time for Rupert Also cost me the placepot 5 out of 6 - arghh !!!

Interesting that we got a huge tip for Plan A trained by Gordon Elliot and after two winners before he ran (5/1 and 16/1) - we all know that the law of the gambler meant that it couldnt win !

Day 3

Not a day I usually do well with with tough handicaps and close calls on the better races. First race the Gigginstown horses are running well, remember all their horses that get to chases are horses they rate so Mr Cracker at 20/1 has to be a bet , he is the best of their novices seemingly, a wee saver on Nobel Prince will be useful as well. The Pertemps is really tough and a tip for Chartreaux is passed on but I will be backing Barwell Bridge for a small stake, I dont like either of the next two races and Poquelin and Big Bucks are short priced favs. And if you can pick the winners of the last two races your a better man or women than me !


The Annual under 4/1 fav rule at Cheltenham UPDATE -
As it stands there are likely to be a number of horses that will run that will be under 4/1 starting price that will be fav at the 2011 festival - in the last three years there have been 46 horses to start as fav that were priced under 4/1 - only 8 have won (Quevega = 25% of the winners total as well !). Many greats have tried and been beaten - so no matter how certain you think you are be careful !

Losers total last three years - 53
Cue Card lost 7/4 (Unplaced)
Medermitt lost 11/4 (Unplaced)
Definity lost 3/1(Unplaced)
So Young 2/1
Time for Rupert 7/4 (Unplaced)
Master Minded 2/1 (Unplaced)
Call the Police 7/2(Unplaced)

Winners total last three years- 10
Hurricane Fly won 11/4
Quevega won 11/10

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