Had a great look through the two handicaps and stats and interesting what the conclusions are !
2.40
No winner has defied a handicap mark of 150+ for 29 years which rules out so many of the horses that you actually have a chance of getting the field down in size.
I really like two horses at prices, now the first Baile Anrai fell last time, you know the stats on that ! However his eye catching run last time is spot on for a handicap and at 14s is hell of a good price. I can give Tullamore Dew a chance but the safer goes on Magnaminity at 16s.
5.40
My thinking hat is on this race and one of my favourite stats races - Five of the last six winners were rated 132-135 which is exactly the bottom half of the weights from White Star Line downwards - nothingelse on stats can win the race.
Not knocked about with top class Novice form in Ireland - White Star Line is a sound 14/1 shot and will be a really good bet. The saver goes on Ackertac who sits in the stats range, and Vino Griego must have a chance - both are thinkers !
Tuesday, 13 March 2012
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