Kelso on Saturday will see plenty of action from various yards again I am keeping most of my powder dry for Cheltenham festival but across the next two days the following horses should run well.
Doncaster Friday 3.05 - The 10 yr old BIG BERTHA is well in on all ratings with a professional jockey on top , could be a good bit of placing by Micky Hammond.
Kelso Saturday - Rimsky Korsakov is a lovely horse but will probably have it all on to beat the impressive Los Nadis. Circassian will run a lot better than his last run as he cannot go Right handed, with the stable under a cloud though he will probably be a leave alone. The top class Lennon runs but will surely struggle against two well weighted rivals in First Look and KILMACKILOGUE.
MR CRYSTAL warms up for the FRED WINTER at the festival and will run well perhaps without winning .
And finally the first bet of the festival is BACKBEAT in the Pertemps Final 8/1 is a huge price a fighter and a stayer - huge chance.
Friday, 29 February 2008
Friday, 22 February 2008
Boom Boom from The Racewatcher
Top tip from the Racewatcher, MYTHICAL AIR is a bet in the 7 . 20 at Wolverhampton the big prices have gone so some drift will follow - working well and is better than this class
Thursday, 21 February 2008
Ayr 21st February
Sadly I am not going today - off to Aberdeen for some unknown reason to do some work !
Some chances today on horses noted that I thought would come on for their last runs
3 10 Ayr, I thought was a weak race and that depending on the paddock view that both MERIGO and STAND ON ME should run.
4.50 Ayr, I think that KATUPULT will be far too short to bet but FISHING INSTRUCTOR is a huge price and will carry each way money.
Some chances today on horses noted that I thought would come on for their last runs
3 10 Ayr, I thought was a weak race and that depending on the paddock view that both MERIGO and STAND ON ME should run.
4.50 Ayr, I think that KATUPULT will be far too short to bet but FISHING INSTRUCTOR is a huge price and will carry each way money.
Monday, 18 February 2008
Cold Cold Cold
Its freezing again, cold cold at least the jockeys can get a well earned rest!!!!
Of the update horses Standin Obligation ran well at Kelso, a good 2nd, will kick on to better races as the season goes on and perhaps even the Kim Muir at Cheltenham. Desert Rat ran a blinder at Musselburgh 16/1 3rd, will win at a small track when emphasis is on speed not stamina.
Howard Johnson will send Tidal Bay to the Sun Alliance and although some of his team are under a cloud the impressive Kealshore Boy and Striking Ambition are still well on course for the festival. Watch out for Treacle Moon when she runs as she will have an each way chance wherever sited in a handicap.
Peter Monteith's Sinatas ran a great race in first time handicap country and despite hating the ground and jumping average nearly won - expect a good run in about 3 weeks. Quiciyo just needed his last run at Kelso (4th) and is still rated topclass.
Of the update horses Standin Obligation ran well at Kelso, a good 2nd, will kick on to better races as the season goes on and perhaps even the Kim Muir at Cheltenham. Desert Rat ran a blinder at Musselburgh 16/1 3rd, will win at a small track when emphasis is on speed not stamina.
Howard Johnson will send Tidal Bay to the Sun Alliance and although some of his team are under a cloud the impressive Kealshore Boy and Striking Ambition are still well on course for the festival. Watch out for Treacle Moon when she runs as she will have an each way chance wherever sited in a handicap.
Peter Monteith's Sinatas ran a great race in first time handicap country and despite hating the ground and jumping average nearly won - expect a good run in about 3 weeks. Quiciyo just needed his last run at Kelso (4th) and is still rated topclass.
Thursday, 14 February 2008
Kelso Valentines Day
Short and sweet -
three to look at QUICIYO - lovely horse weak race , top class for the future and BERWICK LAW will today be the day ? but the only bet is 1pt win 1pt place STANDIN OBLIGATION
three to look at QUICIYO - lovely horse weak race , top class for the future and BERWICK LAW will today be the day ? but the only bet is 1pt win 1pt place STANDIN OBLIGATION
Tuesday, 12 February 2008
Musselburgh 13th February
A lot of very short priced favs again for the punters/layers to back or lay - as usual the question will be how many of these so called good things can win?
Middleton Dene is likely to go off a short priced fav in the first and could be a lay with a double penalty- LOGANS RUN is top class and cost a fortune so could be the likely victor. HALLA SAN was mighty impressive last time he won at Musselburgh and if reproducing that form will take the beating. I dont however like betting Fahey horses odds on, and it took a canny Graham Lee to coax this character home. Bet or Lay ? The key is to look for the huge paddock tell on Fahey
horses , if the long paddock rug stays on until the last possible moment in the ring - it's a hit the lay button.
Middleton Dene is likely to go off a short priced fav in the first and could be a lay with a double penalty- LOGANS RUN is top class and cost a fortune so could be the likely victor. HALLA SAN was mighty impressive last time he won at Musselburgh and if reproducing that form will take the beating. I dont however like betting Fahey horses odds on, and it took a canny Graham Lee to coax this character home. Bet or Lay ? The key is to look for the huge paddock tell on Fahey
horses , if the long paddock rug stays on until the last possible moment in the ring - it's a hit the lay button.
Sunday, 10 February 2008
Honest toil at Ayr
A couple of good meetings this week with good profit at both Musselburgh and Ayr- in truth it wasnt from backing winners !!!
Highlight's of the week have included two lays in three days of NEVER SO BLUE of Venetia Williams and taking my profit on BLUE BAJAN in the Tote Trophy.
Paddock watching has been interesting this week with the padock watchers getting caught out by the looks of a few winners and improver's notably DIGITAL MEDIA and CAMPANERO- it seems that the paddock is not giving many clues at the moment.
On to WETHERBY, NEWCASTLE, MUSSELBURGH and KELSO with a few horses to watch, ALL OUT FOR SEVEN, DESERT RAT and GRATTON LODGE.
Highlight's of the week have included two lays in three days of NEVER SO BLUE of Venetia Williams and taking my profit on BLUE BAJAN in the Tote Trophy.
Paddock watching has been interesting this week with the padock watchers getting caught out by the looks of a few winners and improver's notably DIGITAL MEDIA and CAMPANERO- it seems that the paddock is not giving many clues at the moment.
On to WETHERBY, NEWCASTLE, MUSSELBURGH and KELSO with a few horses to watch, ALL OUT FOR SEVEN, DESERT RAT and GRATTON LODGE.
Friday, 1 February 2008
Best ride I have seen in ages and the kid gets 10 days off!!
I have never in my life been so annoyed about a stewards decision as I am today at Catterick. I have seen the jockey Wilson Renwick ride the hugely tempremental PRIMUS INTER PARUS to victory in a cracking 2m 3 f race , cajoeling, pushing, and prodding a horse that has a mind of his own to readily outscore Flake. The stewards have not only given the jockey 3 days for interference but also 7 further days for slapping a horse down the neck and excessive use of the whip.
10 DAYS !!! Denis O Reagan got 14 days for riding a finish a circuit early - how can the punishment be similar. The worst part is that Wilson Renwick did nothing wrong and has been the victim of the old school getting one over the younger brigade, in fact you could argue that the ride was up there with any ride of the month given by At The Races. The thing that sticks in the throat is that on a moody horse in shocking conditions the stewards have penalised someone for trying his best and performing to his best ability, in that weather you can only say that the stewards have not the first time given Renwick a rough time.
I applaud the comments of the trainer Noel Wilson who went out of his way to tell the viewers on Racing UK that "Wilson is the second best jockey in the North with only Graham Lee being his superior.....I cant believe that more trainers do not use him"
It is obvious to me that some jockeys are lucky and some not, and after losing numerous rides to lost meetings I just hope that the 10 days off do not see Wilson losing many potential winners. My final message to the stewards is simple -if you genuinely think that you made the correct decision then no wonder you cant get your expenses right.
10 DAYS !!! Denis O Reagan got 14 days for riding a finish a circuit early - how can the punishment be similar. The worst part is that Wilson Renwick did nothing wrong and has been the victim of the old school getting one over the younger brigade, in fact you could argue that the ride was up there with any ride of the month given by At The Races. The thing that sticks in the throat is that on a moody horse in shocking conditions the stewards have penalised someone for trying his best and performing to his best ability, in that weather you can only say that the stewards have not the first time given Renwick a rough time.
I applaud the comments of the trainer Noel Wilson who went out of his way to tell the viewers on Racing UK that "Wilson is the second best jockey in the North with only Graham Lee being his superior.....I cant believe that more trainers do not use him"
It is obvious to me that some jockeys are lucky and some not, and after losing numerous rides to lost meetings I just hope that the 10 days off do not see Wilson losing many potential winners. My final message to the stewards is simple -if you genuinely think that you made the correct decision then no wonder you cant get your expenses right.
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