Inside the Stable

Thank You Oiseau de Nuit

2011-03-18T10:25:00.000-07:00

49/1 - you will do for me ! save the best til last !!!!!!!!!!!!

2011-03-18T01:04:00.000-07:00

Day 3 was a blow out very tough ,unless you had Deja Vue!!!! with the three winners from 2010 winning again in three consecutive races !

Big fields mark Friday and Day 4
The Triumph Hurdle is a huge field lottery for me, and the second race is a back a couple in the race type of race 27 runners I like DIRAR and ALAVAIN. The 3m Novice is a tough test for novices and stayers are required CHAMPION COURT has course form and trainer in good nick. The Gold Cup is a good renewal with the old taking on the new - but I will stick with last years winner IMPERIAL COMMANDER and GONE TO LUNCH in the foxhunters is maybe more of a sentimental bet as he was one of my fav handicappers. Just when you think it cant get any tougher the last two races are impossible ! I think my old trainer Micky Hammond will get a good run out of HOLLINS his run behind Peddlers Cross was a nice siter for this race. The last race is your get of of jail race and in short you end up with betting more stakes on the toughest handicap than you would normally - for me PIGEON ISLAND, SHOREACRES OISEAU DE NUIT and I hope both my mate Sean Traceys horses run well and come home safe.

The Annual under 4/1 fav rule at Cheltenham UPDATE -
As it stands there are likely to be a number of horses that will run that will be under 4/1 starting price that will be fav at the 2011 festival - in the last three years there have been 46 horses to start as fav that were priced under 4/1 - only 8 have won (Quevega = 25% of the winners total as well !). Many greats have tried and been beaten - so no matter how certain you think you are be careful !

Losers total last three years - 55
Cue Card lost 7/4 (Unplaced)
Medermitt lost 11/4 (Unplaced)
Definity lost 3/1(Unplaced)
So Young 2/1
Time for Rupert 7/4 (Unplaced)
Master Minded 2/1 (Unplaced)
Call the Police 7/2(Unplaced)
Wishful Thinking 7/2
Poquelin 2/1 (Unplaced)

Winners total last three years- 12
Hurricane Fly won 11/4
Quevega won 11/10
Big Bucks 10/11
Junior 10/3

Certainly has a look of the Irish - !!!! 6 winners on day 2 !

2011-03-16T09:18:00.000-07:00

The Irish have arrived and are taking home the money ! a nice day for me with three winners and a very unlucky fcast when Orsipus couldnt quite get up for 2nd (16s and 33s!) Cant get over how bad Time for Rupert ran, really shocking and flat run - he can still win a Gold Cup he is much better than that. Time for Rupert Also cost me the placepot 5 out of 6 - arghh !!!

Interesting that we got a huge tip for Plan A trained by Gordon Elliot and after two winners before he ran (5/1 and 16/1) - we all know that the law of the gambler meant that it couldnt win !

Day 3

Not a day I usually do well with with tough handicaps and close calls on the better races. First race the Gigginstown horses are running well, remember all their horses that get to chases are horses they rate so Mr Cracker at 20/1 has to be a bet , he is the best of their novices seemingly, a wee saver on Nobel Prince will be useful as well. The Pertemps is really tough and a tip for Chartreaux is passed on but I will be backing Barwell Bridge for a small stake, I dont like either of the next two races and Poquelin and Big Bucks are short priced favs. And if you can pick the winners of the last two races your a better man or women than me !

The Annual under 4/1 fav rule at Cheltenham UPDATE -
As it stands there are likely to be a number of horses that will run that will be under 4/1 starting price that will be fav at the 2011 festival - in the last three years there have been 46 horses to start as fav that were priced under 4/1 - only 8 have won (Quevega = 25% of the winners total as well !). Many greats have tried and been beaten - so no matter how certain you think you are be careful !

Losers total last three years - 53
Cue Card lost 7/4 (Unplaced)
Medermitt lost 11/4 (Unplaced)
Definity lost 3/1(Unplaced)
So Young 2/1
Time for Rupert 7/4 (Unplaced)
Master Minded 2/1 (Unplaced)
Call the Police 7/2(Unplaced)

Winners total last three years- 10
Hurricane Fly won 11/4
Quevega won 11/10

The Annual Cheltenham Blog

2011-03-15T10:42:00.000-07:00

Day 1 Update -
Hurricane Fly won - vv impresive and the nap won Quevega 11/10 sadly down to 49th in the Tote Ten to follow competition!

RUBY RUBY RUBY - only three winners, as usual the best jockeys win the big races at Cheltenham - Thornton , Johnson and Lee - Ruby had seven winners three years ago so dont be put off by the fact he has ahd three already !!!

The Annual under 4/1 fav rule at Cheltenham UPDATE -
As it stands there are likely to be a number of horses that will run that will be under 4/1 starting price that will be fav at the 2011 festival - in the last three years there have been 46 horses to start as fav that were priced under 4/1 - only 8 have won (Quevega = 25% of the winners total as well !). Many greats have tried and been beaten - so no matter how certain you think you are be careful !

Losers total last three years - 49
Cue Card lost 7/4 (Unplaced)
Medermitt lost 11/4 (Unplaced)
Definity lost 3/1(Unplaced)

Winners total last three years- 10
Hurricane Fly won 11/4
Quevega won 11/10

Day 2
In the 4 mile chase I will stump for Chicago Grey. Best bet of Day 2 though is TIME FOR RUPERT in the RSA Chase he is a quality horse and a little saver on The Giant Bolster at 25/1 will give you a good run and offer great F/C material I also love - So Young in the novice hurdle (NB) - really striking horse with gears.

The Queen Mother Champion Chase is a great race , past champions abound and I am praying for rain so that Golden Silver can show just how good a horse he is - if he doesnt get lots of rain I fear that Big Zeb and Master Minded will fight out the finish. Aegean Dawn has some how got in the Coral Cup off 11 stone, despite a scare pre Cheltenham he is pure class,I like the horse and a wee saver on Orsipuss at 33/1.

Plan A in the Fred Winter if you like tips from Craigy Boy ! or Paintball if you trust me! either way not a race I really like. The bumper has the usual feel but at 14/1 I could bet Divine Rhapsody if pushed.

The Annual Cheltenham Blog

2011-03-08T13:52:00.000-08:00

As the best four days racing arrives and grown men start shouting at TV's, even Tanya Stevenson from Channel 4 has had a haircut - what will win ? well firstly if I had a pound for every person who asks me for a winner I would be able to pay my mortgage off! it is a time for selecting what you feel and not betting too much !!!

I am not sure that the rule below will keep applying as the fields keep thinning out as more races are added, but the stats speak for themselves 1 in 5 horses that start at fav at less than 4/1 get beat that means out of Quevega 11/10, Time for Rupert 2/1, Cue Card 5/2, Imperial Commander 3/1 and Big Bucks 5/6 only one will win.

So remember the MOST IMPORTANT FACT IN Betting at Cheltenham

The Annual under 4/1 fav rule at Cheltenham
As it stands there are likely to be a number of horses that will run that will be under 4/1 starting price that will be fav at the 2011 festival - in the last three years there have been 46 horses to start as fav that were priced under 4/1 - only 8 have won (Quevega = 25% of the winners total as well !). Many greats have tried and been beaten - so no matter how certain you think you are be careful !

2010
The favs under 4/1
Losers
Dunguib 4/5, Captain Cee bee 5/2 (Unpl), Go Native 11/4 (Unpl), Garde Champetre 7/4 (unpl), Rite of Passage 7/2, Punchestowns 2/1 (Unpl), Master Minded 4/5 (Unpl), Shot from the Hip 3/1 (unpl), Alfie Sherrin 3/1 (unpl), Poquelin 11/4, Carlito Brigante 7/2 (unpl), Tell Massinni 10/3 (unpl), Kauto Star 8/11 (unpl)
Winners
Quevega 6/4, Big Bucks 5/6,

2011 Day 1 - Festival

The Arkle is my fav race at the festival for having a bet but not this year , a weak race and i just dont fancy any of the first five in the market - No bet

best bet on day 1 CUE CARD - in the opening race at 5/2 - he is plenty short enough but even with the stats against him this horse is top quality - a wee saver on Recession Proof will be worthwhile.

I really like Hurricane Fly and Menorah in the Champion Hurdle, but again it is a very tight race. SunnyhillBoy is the selection in the 2.40 , unlucky last year but a bit short at around 6/1. Quevega is the class act in the Mares race and at 11/10 should win in what is a very weak race.

Day 2
In the 4 mile chase I will stump for Chicago Grey but only if Quito De La Roque does not run. Best bet of Day 2 though is TIME FOR RUPERT in the RSA Chase he is a quality horse and a little saver on The Giant Bolster at 25/1 will give you a good run and offer great F/C material. The Queen Mother Champion Chase is a great race , past champions abound and I am praying for rain so that Golden Silver can show just how good a horse he is - if he doesnt win then Big Zeb and Master Minded will fight out the finish. Aegean Dawn has some how got in the Coral Cup off less than 11 stone so if he runs he has to be a bet as does Plan A in the Fred Winter.

The Annual under 4/1 fav rule at Cheltenham

2011-02-27T15:55:00.000-08:00

As it stands there are likely to be a number of horses that will run that will be under 4/1 starting price that will be fav at the 2011 festival - in the last three years there have been 46 horses to start as fav that were priced under 4/1 - only 8 have won (Quevega = 25% of the winners total as well !). Many greats have tried and been beaten - so no matter how certain you think you are be careful !

2010
The favs under 4/1
Losers
Dunguib 4/5, Captain Cee bee 5/2 (Unpl), Go Native 11/4 (Unpl), Garde Champetre 7/4 (unpl), Rite of Passage 7/2, Punchestowns 2/1 (Unpl), Master Minded 4/5 (Unpl), Shot from the Hip 3/1 (unpl), Alfie Sherrin 3/1 (unpl), Poquelin 11/4, Carlito Brigante 7/2 (unpl), Tell Massinni 10/3 (unpl), Kauto Star 8/11 (unpl)
Winners
Quevega 6/4, Big Bucks 5/6,

2009
The favs under 4/1 had a few winners 5 from 18
Cousin Vinny 9/4 (unp),Binocular 6/4,Lami 7/4,QUEVEGA 2/1
MIKAEL D ARGENT 5/2,COOLDINE 9/4,MASTER MINDED 4/11
Alexander Severus 11/4,Rite of Passage 5/2,Vor Por Ustedes 10/11,Kasbah Bliss 5/4 (unp),Poker di Siviola 7/2 (unp),Daves Dream 7/2 (unp),Pride of Dulcote,KAUTO STAR 7/4,Juveigner 7/2 (unp),Big Eared Fran 7/2,Poquelin 3/1 (unp)

The Ruby show came into town, with Nicholls hitting top form from day 3 - Mullins had a ball and no winners again for Hobbs, Pipe, Powell, Murphy. Top jocks dominated most of the races with very few shocks Walsh had 6, Geraghty 3, Mccoy 1.

2008
The age and finishing Stats didnt stand up this year with fine performances from Master Minded, Inglis Drever and Katchit defying stats and proving their undoubted talent.
Cheltenhams greatest stat stood up again though !

The Under 4/1 fav losers were out in force:
Kauto Star (evs), Franchoek (11/10), Ashkazar (15/8), Noland (7/4), Sizing Europe (2/1), Wonderkid (5/2), Vor Por ustedes (5/2), The Listener (10/3), Dont Push It (5/2), Zaarito (3/1), Chumba Wumba (10/3), My Petra (3/1)

13 Qualifiers - 12 Losers 4 Unplaced , 1 winner Inglis Drever 11/8 Win

Key Notes:
Bad week at the office for Noel Meade and Philip Hobbs two outstanding trainers had very quiet meetings.
Good week at the office for Alan King, Paul Nicholls and Howard Johnson

Day two - recovery time !

2010-03-16T15:24:00.000-07:00

Tough day at the office for many punters on day 1 - me included - maybe writing will give some solace !

Firstly - nice neat trick with Binocular , get it ready for one race and one race only aka Granville Again ,all over Again! Secondly - Dunguib is still a good horse - just not as good as the two in front of him ! Novice Chasing next year me thinks

4 mile chase is a right off as a betting medium so second race brings first chance of betting recovery. Peddlers Cross is the nicest horse in the Donald Mccain stable so around 7/1 he must have a great chance. The Coral cup sees Wishful Thinking as a bet at around 12s , stable in form like the horse hugely.

Master Minded should win but wont be surprised to see Big Zeb run a race. The bumper will be won by a smart Irish horse I would think , which one I have no idea !

This new set of races and the flow of the festival is all over the show so the handicaps later in the day are near impossible, I just hope that Bocamix runs well for Andy Crook.

Cheltenham 2010

2010-03-12T13:13:00.000-08:00

As Cheltenham rushes forward at pace I have fnally put my mind to looking at the best bets and chances.

Day 1 banker for most people will be DUNGUIB and I just cant oppose the horse, without being ungenuine to the jockey if a Top Jockey was on board then he would be 1 to 2 fav so the nearly evens must be a bet for those with the big betting pockets. The danger will be the Jonjo horse that won the Tote Trophy Get me out of here - but it has to be Dunguib.

The best bet of the week for me is RIVERSIDE THEATRE - I spend my life waiting for bets that stand out and I just cant get my mind away from this horse , he will battle when the other speed horse come off the bridal. I like Somersby in the same race and hopefully these two will battle it out with Geraghty just getting the better of Thornton.

The third bet has to be BENSALEM who has Cheltenham form, needs to improve his jumping but he is class and could be thrown in off 10.11.

The final two horses to look at will be WISHFUL THINKING and PEDDLERS CROSS - I am hoping that they don't run in the same race but fancy them both hugely.

There is value in the big races against the favorites and would think that an each way treble covering COOLDINE, KALAHARI KING and TIDAL BAY will bring fun.

My bet for top jockey is Barry Geraghty - just think that the Ruby express might not have as good a year as last - Ruby and Barry are the best jockey's round Cheltenham and you wont go far wrong following them in every race.

Cheltenham 2010

2010-03-06T01:58:00.000-08:00

As it stands there are likely to be a number of horses that will run that will be under 4/1 starting price - in the last two years there have been 31 horses to start under 4/1 - only 6 have won.

The prices are shortening and my fav rule at Cheltenham is not to get too involved with the under 4/1 horses - around 20% only last two years and that is mainly due to the volume of winners last year.

This year - Dunguib 4/5, Captain Cee Bee 7/2, Garde Champetre 9/4, Quevega 11/8, Rite of Passage 3/1, Long Run 5/2, Master Minded evs, Big Bucks 8/13, Kauto Star 4/5, Roulez Coole 7/2

[b]2009[/b]
The favs under 4/1 had a few winners 5 from 18
Cousin Vinny 9/4 (unp),Binocular 6/4,Lami 7/4,QUEVEGA 2/1
MIKAEL D ARGENT 5/2,COOLDINE 9/4,MASTER MINDED 4/11
Alexander Severus 11/4,Rite of Passage 5/2,Vor Por Ustedes 10/11,Kasbah Bliss 5/4 (unp),Poker di Siviola 7/2 (unp),Daves Dream 7/2 (unp),Pride of Dulcote,KAUTO STAR 7/4,Juveigner 7/2 (unp),Big Eared Fran 7/2,Poquelin 3/1 (unp)

The Ruby show came into town, with Nicholls hitting top form from day 3 - Mullins had a ball and no winners again for Hobbs, Pipe, Powell, Murphy. Top jocks dominated most of the races with very few shocks Walsh had 6, Geraghty 3, Mccoy 1.

[b]2008[/b]
The age and finishing Stats didnt stand up this year with fine performances from Master Minded, Inglis Drever and Katchit defying stats and proving their undoubted talent.
Cheltenhams greatest stat stood up again though !

The Under 4/1 fav losers were out in force:
Kauto Star (evs), Franchoek (11/10), Ashkazar (15/8), Noland (7/4), Sizing Europe (2/1), Wonderkid (5/2), Vor Por ustedes (5/2), The Listener (10/3), Dont Push It (5/2), Zaarito (3/1), Chumba Wumba (10/3), My Petra (3/1)

13 Qualifiers - 12 Losers 4 Unplaced , 1 winner Inglis Drever 11/8 Win

Key Notes:
Bad week at the office for Noel Meade and Philip Hobbs two outstanding trainers had very quiet meetings.
Good week at the office for Alan King, Paul Nicholls and Howard Johnson

It's about making money - 2010 actions

2010-01-04T15:49:00.000-08:00

"Typical you get all the time in the year to look at form and then it snows and snows and snows and there is nothing to bet on!" is a comment just texted to me from a friend who is a really good punter and is having a family rather than a gambling Christmas. I think a little differently, this time is the one time in the year that you can clear your mind and look to deliver profits in the year ahead if your an all year round gambler or a good resting time if you just follow the jumpers. I try to only bet on the jumpers and use the summer to improve my golf swing, it works for me as I don't feel any need to be looking at Lingfield, Southwell, Wolverhampton or Kempton - just to have a wee bet - in the prolonged winter freezes. In the clearing ice zone I have examined the way I bet and these are my thoughts - that as I say work with me.

1) Nag Me - I don't do detail , I am a man, its just not what I do or in fact what most men do! This service is cheap and this year has yielded numerous winners for me at some hefty prices 14/1, 20/1, 7/1 etc - yes it has losers but it means I don't miss anything (having said that the BT Click service is useless and you get no notification that is expiring). Take the time to invest especially if you work and don't get chance to read the papers every day(there is nothing worse than looking at the results and thinking ARGHHHHHHHH a missed winner)it works well and as such makes certain that you don't miss those non triers or impressive winners.

2) I only use Betting exchanges or occasionally I will use Corals, the exchanges allow me to function as a trader and that is how I bet everyday. Every stake I place I put a lay up to get the stake back at around 2.12 and another bet under to take profit. I have analysed this and actually I bet more winners than losers so I could just stick with the winning bet, but it is not what I do - I bet value horses to trade and make a profit.The other sods law is that when you don't take the stake back, they dont win !

3) I use a daily stake whenever I start punting , which I then will only add too if I feel I need to - the target is £300 profit everytime I gamble. I will go upto a bigger figure especially if I am behind on a day as I treat the money as pts rather than money - it is just a figure a bit like chips in poker- if you think of it as money it stops you betting correctly

4) I dont listen to tips - from anyone ! I have lots of contacts very close to the heart of racing, to a man they are the worst tipsters you have ever seen.

5) Watching eye - A horse looks a certain way and somehow I have developed an eye that allows me to see when a horse looks well and happy - it works for me 75% of the time - I can't tell you how to get that eye but a happy horse has the air of a strutting athlete.

6) I am not a layer, I only lay when I get a situation that means a horse has to be laid - this will usually be if a horse looks awful or not fit, is far too short a price or if the horse can't go on the ground, Two trips this year yielded two different results, a horse of Ferdy Murphy's was as big as a bus at Carlisle he was a definite place lay at around 2.02 - I hit it hard - but it ran a blinder and ran on to be 2nd - it was the right bet on the wrong day. Same thought process was a Peter Monteith horse at 2.12 in a place market in a staying race at Kelso, the ground was heavy and his form on that was terrible he had to be a lay - he was duly unplaced and I won a good bet. These are extremes but I recently had a Tilt day where I lost a hefty stake, nearly 2/3rds of that was laying horses to be placed or to win at odds I thought were too short - I didn't get one right in 8 bets! and you tend to lay horses for more than you would put on as a win bet ! so when you lose you lose bigger - stay clear!

7) Certain horses by certain trainers are quite simply not off all the time, novice hurdlers up north, short priced horses for certain trainers, certain early season runners, certain Irish owned horses and of courses loads of drifters by certain stables - the trick is follow and learn and create your own strategies I have mine - you develop yours

8) You will have a day when you back loads of winners, everything goes right when it does just make certain that you have the doubles and trebles on !

I know I know its been ages since I blogged but

2009-12-13T16:13:00.000-08:00

I have been busy , and my trips to the races have been limited - so here goes with some thoughts on a few horses and Cheltenham pointers -

Horses to Follow -
Shoreacres - lovely neat jumper , made to be a jumper of fences and has schooled well

Joncol - great scope and physical ability, ran a blinder first race of the season when needing it , won in great style last Sunday and will improve through the ranks at any rate of knotts

Dunguib - is simply sensational, If I could guarantee 2/1 and a run in the Supreme Novices you would haul on as much as you could

Mr Whickham - not been knocked about in any race yet, will improve when handicapped I presume

Riverside Theatre - is my long range bet for the Arkle - 16-1 is a nice price in what will be the race of the opening day of the festival

Punjabi - interesting to see he has drifted again for the champion hurdle after needing his run at Cheltenham on Saturday, Binocular is 11/2 i know which one I prefer at the moment

anyway enough for now, the annual Adbrokes day out is on the 21st of December at Musselburgh - I have a winner for the novice hurdle

Kelso Race by race

2009-10-03T13:23:00.000-07:00

2.20
Prioryjo has had many chances and this has to be the weakest of the lot, well handicapped on a couple of runs and having his first run for a new stable he is probably the safest selection. The outsider for the race is the lightly raced Mccormack, who having left Micky Hammond runs for the very talented Tina Jackson- could spring a surprise if he looks as well as he did for his first run on the flat this year.
2.55
Tough typical early season race and purely on course form Super Baby is the selection
3.30
Another tricky race and though I like the Howard Johnson Night Force who if fit will go close the recent impressive Perth winner Now this is it looks worthy favorite material
4.05
Avitus rates a bet in the Novice Hurdle a race that Micky Hammond has won twice in the last four years, he has a good line on the hurdlers with a recent winner and as such Avitus a good flat performer sits as the type of horse that Micky does well with.
4.35
A very weak race with a mix of average hurdlers and miss matched first time chasers, I will take a chance on the fences allowing Farne Island to get the trip but it is only a small fancy.
5.10
A good hurdle with lots of angles, Hello Nod only just gets the trip so the long run in might see him fall short - his run at Hexham three runs ago is the best recent form though. Caravel won with plenty in hand last year before being caught out by a top class field in the Imperial Cup - fully fit even off top weight he will go close. Last years winner Border Tale and the ex Nicky Henderson horse Stellino represent the useful trainer Jimmy Moffatt and the fit Fistral runs for the jockeys agent Richard Hale. The selection is Border Tale to follow up his win last year, the parade ring will tell me how fit he is and as such how large a bet !

The two bumpers will be paddock watches and as such no bet can be given.

New Season Kelso October

2009-10-03T10:36:00.000-07:00

Well at last the proper horse season is due to start, no more of the flat 5f sprints and dull maidens !!! I havent watched nearly as much as usual on the flat- in fact I would say that I have enjoyed not being as immersed in the flat as usual and so the jumps season beckons.

Sunday - Arc day at Kelso sees Micky Hammond going to try and win one of his races, with AVITUS owned by Paul Sellars in the Novice hurdle- a race he has won before with horses such as Mr Crystal I see this as a value bet on my first racing day out since York in May.

Anyway updates will come as and when , be lucky

June 2009

2009-06-11T15:39:00.000-07:00

Well the flat season is underway and as such Royal Ascot is on next week, I am getting less and less interested in the flat season.I have my nag me stable set up which has brought one 12/1 winner, but level stakes is only slightly in front.

Sea the Stars has established itself as the top dog of the 3 year olds but I havent seen a massive superstar yet that sits as a dark horse or improver.

Richard Fahey runs his best two yr old tomorrow at York - Elusive Sue - its a get on big bet - even at York.

The jump scene is still slow, with limited interest and I am quite happy to wait until it grows again in September

My only message to self is - stop laying in large sums when you do bet as 50/50 losers are not a good bet.

Its nearly over...........

2009-04-30T15:47:00.000-07:00

Well that is the Scottish Grand National meeting out of the way, Perth festival also and Punchestown has nearly finished - what a lovely jumping season.

There has been some stars on show as well over the last few weeks , DUNGUIB - the best bumper horse I have seen - get it sold though ! HURRICANE FLY - awesome hurdler and of course FIVEFORTHREE winning head in chest (one race too late mind!).

The jumps season's passing is the flat season's start, and the 1000 and 2000 Guineas is the first real meeting of the year with as usual the milers setting the standard for the year.

I have two horses to look out for FANTASIA , my oaks filly and CROWDED HOUSE my Derby horse. So goodbye to the Blog for a few months, with a few sets of notes if I am pushed see you at Wetherby in October.

The wonders of a bank holiday weekend

2009-04-10T15:56:00.000-07:00

With Betfair working slower and slower , the frustration of the lack of usability is driving me mad !!! If only the purple one could sort its functionality and lack of in running out then they could nearly get the mrket leader position.

the nap is ROUGE ET BLANC and the 12 /1 is a huge price in the final of te fixed brush handicap series. This horse was only beaten a neck by TRENCHANT who has run well at the festival and Aintree. Its mark of 118 is useful , gets a four yr old allowance and the experience of learning its trade in France will see him run a blinder.

The second bet of the weekend is on CASEY JONES in the Irish Grand National, 14s is a fair price and the way he stays on will see him go close. TRAFFORD LAD is back on Sunday , anything above 11/4 is a good bet.

Aintree Day 3

2009-04-03T15:44:00.000-07:00

Its Grand National Day , huge field and you need huge luck to even get round. I strongly fancy BUTLERS CABIN to give A P Mccoy his first National, the key being that he must go to the outside at Bechers Brook as he props jumping the inside. 9/1 isnt a huge price with all the luck required but he would be my main fancy. The interest story is behind My Will who represent the Andy Stewart family whose son Paul had a terrible snow boarding accident which has left him paralysed, he will go off favourite and would by Pauls heroics show the will that is required to win round Aintree. The bigger prices see some classy horses and I still think even with top weight Cloudy Lane can run into a place for Ginger "Red Rum" Mccain's son Donald and last years third Snowy Morning will do similar.

It is a classy day of racing and one of my favourite horses Cape Tribulation runs in the first, he is only 7/2 and I just wonder whether he has left his race at Cheltenham, coupled with the jockey booking and Malcolms horses running moderate at best I might just let him run. The huge potential of Michael Flips will have his mettle tested as he is ridden by the worst jockey I have ever seen in Mark Grant - who is brutal at getting a horse to jump, thankfully Bible Lord survived his spill today. These good horses that he rides for Mr M Tedham need a jockey to reach their full potential.

The second race should see Kalahari King win if the ground stays good and the third race sees FIVEFORTHREE take on the very classy field, he is special and with Jered as saver will be the days nap.

The race before the National sees MALJIMAR seek compensation for not making the cut in the National , he nearly won at Cheltenham and travels really well a saver on DONT PUSH IT will be the cover bet.

The final bet of the week is on CRANKY CORNER who ran a blinder at Cheltenham in the bumper , he travels really well and the hugely eyecatching Premier Sagas would be the saver.

Day Two Aintree

2009-04-02T13:37:00.000-07:00

Good job today, really liked the way that Walk On won despite not looking that enthusiastic !!!

RED MALONEY fits the bill in the first, ex flat racer who ran in first 6 at Cheltenham is a good stat, stayed the trip on the flat . SIEGEMASTER fell at Cheltenham despite looking a million dollars, really think at around 12/1 he is a good bet to beat HERECOMESTHETRUTH who is yet another Paul Nicholls shortie!

TIDAL BAY will be spot on for the Melling Chase and can probably beat Vor Por Ustedes if they can keep tabs on him to three out. Bible Lord will be a white knickle ride for Mark Grant in the next, the Sefton sees Karabak at a short price and I quite like KNOCKARA BEAU at a huge price to run in the frame with Karabak perhaps leaving his race at Cheltenham.

The nap of the day is CAPTAIN AMERICO in the handicap hurdle 8/1 is getting shorter all the time.

Aintree Day 1

2009-04-01T16:27:00.000-07:00

Walk On is the nap 11/4 is a good strong bet

Faasel is the each way selection in the first race purely based on his Aintree record of 1, 2, 2, from three runs, probably wont win but worth a look at around 25/1.

The second each way double half is on Theatre Knight in the Foxhunters at 33/1 , his record at Aintree rates him a serious bet in a lottery of a race.

I hope Denman wins but at 5/6 cant be interested, the 2 mile chase is really tough and the final hurdle must see Arcalis and also Mumbles Head go well.

Its quieter now but nearly the end of the season

2009-03-30T14:13:00.000-07:00

Well only three / four weeks to go in the jumps season - Aintree then Perth and that is that for a few months for The Adman. looking forward to a bit of warmth in the air and a new found fitness regime !

Aintree:
The Grand National meeting starts on Thursday and there are quite a few strong fancies running on from Cheltenham.

DAY ONE
First things first Hebridean is Paul Nicholls banker for the meeting but I cant see him beating WALK ON, what a very topical winner me thinks.

The big stayers race on day 1 sees Big Bucks looking to follow up his Cheltenham win, not sure as a short price horse that Aintree will suit as much as Cheltenham so each way on Nineteith Minute might be my bet. Kalahari King must follow up his great run at Cheltenham on his favoured ground and I cant wait to see Blue Bajan run over 2m 4f on quick ground.

DAY TWO
Michael Flips will suit the course and with AP on top must run a big race in the opener, with Mark Grant on top he is a big leave ! By the way I pray that Bible Lord doesnt get in to the Grand National, with Mark Grant on top the word danger comes to mind ! The best bet on the card is TIDAL BAY , with his really good run at Cheltenham behind him, better ground and a race that Howard has won on numerous occasions he will be value against the disappointing Vor Por Ustedes. I also expect Calgary Bay to run better over a trip that will suit better than Cheltenham. I like Bishops Bridge in the first race over the national fences, and also like Nineteith Minute if he runs in the listed handicap hurdle.

DAY THREE
Cape Tribulation will carry my money in the opener of the third day, back to his best trip and hoepfully Phil Kinsella will let him stride on, the best bet of the final day though is FIVE FORTHREE a fresh horse that is just simply topclass a wee saver on JERED in the same race will be included. The national bet is on Butlers Cabin with a saver on Hear the Echo and the concluding bumper will see a few quid on Cranky Corner for Mr Hemmings.

Over

2009-03-13T15:33:00.000-07:00

I cant believe its over , and just in front - probably down to the away winners rather than the Cheltenham ones !!!

The favs under 4/1 had a few winners which didnt help 5 from 18
Cousin Vinny 9/4 (unp)
Binocular 6/4
Lami 7/4
QUEVEGA 2/1
MIKAEL D ARGENT 5/2
COOLDINE 9/4
MASTER MINDED 4/11
Alexander Severus 11/4
Rite of Passage 5/2
Vor Por Ustedes 10/11
Kasbah Bliss 5/4 (unp)
Poker di Siviola 7/2 (unp)
Daves Dream 7/2 (unp)
Pride of Dulcote
KAUTO STAR 7/4
Juveigner 7/2 (unp)
Big Eared Fran 7/2
Poquelin 3/1 (unp)

The Ruby show came into town, with Nicholls hitting top form from day 3 - Mullins had a ball and no winners again for Hobbs, Pipe, Powell, Murphy. Top jocks dominated most of the races with very few shocks Walsh had 6, Geraghty 3, Mccoy 1.

Northern horses came and didnt conquer.

End of day two

2009-03-11T16:30:00.000-07:00

Well I am in front, just !!!
day 1 ended up level thanks to Sue Smith at Sedgefield again, and again !!!
Didnt back Punjabi at all which erks then missed Tricky Twister for Twister !!! at the start of day two ! Then out of the clouds came Ninetieth Minute - come to daddy 18/1 thank you for a good scoop !!!

Dunguib was just awesome awesome awesome....................

Day three looks tricky tricky tricky................
Irish Raptor was horse two from Twiston, I love Three Mirrors, The Siliotar, Openide and the nap Kasbah Bliss

Cheltenham Day One Tuesday

2009-03-09T16:03:00.000-07:00

With over 110 runners the need for study is paramount, winds is freshening and rain is gathering. Is life not just brilliant!

Kempes is the best bet in the first race, quality ex flat horse who likes cut travels well and jumps well he is my main fancy. Michael Flips has the dreadful Mr Grant on board he is a quality horse but jockey puts me off. The negative vibes around Cousin Vinny , the over rated form of Torphican and the links to Dee EE Williams formlines gives Shoreacres a good chance of running in the first six.

The Arkle is full of runners with no real standout, I think the best of the Irish is Golden Silver with Kalahri King the best of the English.

The classy Star De Mohaison is the bet in race three, ground dependant - soft would put me off.

Quivega and Binocular will be strong fancies for many with plenty of rain old Brave Inca will be near the frame in the champion with Punjabi going closs to the three as well.

Early Cheltenham Fancies

2009-03-02T07:58:00.000-08:00

Day 1:
Michael Flips looks exciting in the first race and at 14/1 looks like a strong each way fancy - the bet will depend on the jockey booking for me - AP Mccoy will be a huge positive. I like Calagary Bay in the second and Osana and Punjabi (e/w) in the Champion hurdle with Star De Mohaison well worth a look if he runs in the William Hill chase.

Day 2:
Pyscho will ge the chance to win me back the money he lost for me last year in the Coral Cup 12/1 is a big price at the moment, I also like Bensalem and Casey Jones in the first. I really like Briarius e/w in the champion chase at 25/1 with 9/1 being a massive price in the Queen Mother without the favourite. Of course highlighted here the 14s on Gone To Lunch is long gone and with A P on top he will run a good race. I love Mr Thriller and whichever race he runs in he will carry my money.

Day 3:
Kasbah Bliss will be the best bet of the day on Thursday - 5/4 is in theory a huge price given his record and ability and I really like Yes Sir and Three Mirrors in the Racing Post Plate as long as the ground is good.

By now after day 3 I am sure of my fate on the meeting so Day 4 will see either go to jail or get out of jail bets !!!

Day 4:
I love Master of the Arts in the Triumph, Numide in the County Hurdle (needs soft or cut at worst) and my second best bet of the week Cape Tribulation (with cut in the ground) so let see what happens in 8 days time.

Kasbah Bliss
Cape Tribulation
Gone to Lunch
Master of the Arts
Mr Thriller

Good luck

Cheltenham odds begin to shorten

2009-02-23T13:02:00.000-08:00

Its time, the odds are starting to shorten for Cheltenham and the number of short priced good things is growing. The under 4/1 favs are already out in force

Kauto Star 2/1
Vor Por Ustedes 7/4
Kasbah Bliss 5/4
Whiteoak 7/2
Binocular 5/4
Lami 7/2
Master Minded 1/3
Zaynar 7/2

Now they cant all win can they?
(Kasbah Bliss and Master Minded are my only 2)

Gone for Lunch is now 9/1, Calgary Bay is 5/1 they just keep getting shorter and shorter

I am going quiet for 14 days, away to study and learn - nothing daft in between and to leave my 2 horses in a 3 runner race and miss the winner form behind. See you at Prestbury

Saturday 21st

2009-02-21T03:03:00.000-08:00

A very quiet week punting, one which I cant even say I feel that I have missed a winner.

The tote ten to follow is getting lively upto 106th and 21st in the monthly - Trafford Lad winning would of been nice !

This is one of those Saturdays where I should just sit and put a trixie and a double on and not even open Betfair. Skippers Brigg (2.6)and Sitting Tennant (4.2) look good bets at Newcastle with Chabrinal Minster a great bet espeacially as he will trade very very short in running with a get out in running a definate play.

Good days racing today

2009-02-14T11:36:00.000-08:00

Well Kasbah Bliss looked awesome, Ashkazar really useful (Punjabi had my belly on him) Vor Por Ustedes looked like Kauto Star and Tazbar ran a blinder with top weight on ground he hates !!

Didnt end up laying Vor Por Ustedes as he was 2.2 , backed Tamrinbleu instead, backed Wales -9 (ended up 8) but made a lovely profit on Stripe me Blue backed at 7.8 laid back at 2.1.

The tote ten to follow livened up for The kybermen today with three big winners , if tomorrow sees Trafford Lad winning and Neptunes Collonges we might even make the leaderboard.

Bet maverick had a good day again 50% winners on a day with 6 bets , still free service until end of February

On a day full of racing

2009-02-13T14:42:00.000-08:00

My best bet is Wales - 9pts at the Rugby 10/11 to beat England on the handicap - different gravy - the biggest certainty since sliced bread -

Three horses to view for the future - ASHKAZAR and PUNJABI 2.40 Wincanton KASBAH BLISS 1.20 Haydock - watch all three for Cheltenham and one for the future TAZBAR 3.25 Haydock (how he has ended up with a mark of 152 is beyond me, he hates the ground and is 15lbs above his last winning mark) who will run well at some point in a huge race as he is a star,think Aintree day 1 off about 146

Bets
Tamrinbleu - 2.15 Ascot -
Stripe Me Blue- 4.15 Wincanton

Lay
Vor Por Ustedes 2.15 Ascot not won on soft since 2005, I think he has lost the desire 5/6 fav

Onward onward

2009-02-12T16:01:00.000-08:00

With a little over 4 weeks to go Cheltenham horses are starting to mow down their grass as they look for their perfect pitch for their intended targets.

Ante post bets placed
Gone for Lunch £200 win 14/1 Sun Alliance
Cape Tribulation £150 win 16/1 Albert Bartlett

Punjabi at 16s looks tempting each way in the Champion hurdle

Big chance this weekend Air Force One if he runs in Ireland on Sunday - if he runs he will love the bigger fences that will aid his performance- also laying Vor Por Ustedes in the Ascots chase 11/10 - looks like he has had enough ala Denman.

Ps - Its great to see Sam Thomas riding well again, still think he was treated badly by the Nicholls camp - getting the blame for horses being out of form

And its cold again

2009-02-10T14:14:00.000-08:00

Well yet another enforced break in the jumps season, have not got a clue how many days have been lost but I am saving a fortune !!!! The all weather might see plenty of horses getting spins to keep them fit for the festival soon -thats if we dont get a break out of good weather. The funny thing is that when it does comes back, the ground will be rotten so at what point do you give up on the "run" before Cheltenham?

The Bet Maverick tipping service is doing well, a link can be found to the right of the post- well worth giving it a go as Graham Cunningham is as they say the dogs bollards.

The Denman camp have been very open, a little birdie tells me that they never thought he would win on Saturday - I wonder if the coffers were filled?????

Denman

2009-02-07T08:59:00.000-08:00

As you know if your a regular reader my thoughts on Denman, his first appearance today and he doesnt look half the horse he was sadly. I say this as there is no doubt that although he ran well, the track was the wrong way round and the going probably a bit gluey he just doesnt have the same fire in his eyes - in short Cheltenham gold cup day as bottomed him - and that might be the day of the champion. Forget the Gold Cup , get him out in a field and give him a really good break would be my thoughts.

Saturday Festival Hints

2009-01-24T13:52:00.000-08:00

Cape Tribulation is Dato Star !!! top class run , a little keen but skips over the hurdles. Better when fresh, should go to festival without another run if he gets soft ground in the 3 miler he will take some beating.

Big Bucks looked beaten and a little sulky at the top of the hill , Punchestown had him covered then faded - on better ground Big Bucks wont get in front of Punchestown or Kasbah Bliss.

Tidal Bay - looked like he wasnt enjoying it at Carlisle for his first run and I still think something is ailing him - he is game though and if he were mine a nice run over hurdles would be coming

Halcon Generladis didnt want to start then ducked it after the last, not a great race but Joe Lively does love Cheltenham. Roll Along ran like a drain as did his other runner on the card - this isnt his form.

Nigel Twiston Davies badly out of form still, and his runners can be ignored until March.

and Ayr and Hexham on Sunday

2009-01-23T12:43:00.000-08:00

Monteith fancies he will have a few good chances on Sunday - Quicuyo and Nelson de Ronceray (Fortunate Isle a lay in the same race) really well fancied.

Another good day ...........

2009-01-23T12:32:00.000-08:00

Not many bets but backed Polar Gunner and Almaydan at Doncaster and there is no better feeling when the two you have backed are clear jumping two out. Learned a few good truths today Betdaq in running market was only 2k from the off on three successive markets - Betfair never less than 100k - Betdaq didnt get any lower than 3 for Polar Gunner, my 2.12 had no chance !!!

Cheltenham - Watched the full Racing Uk review review last night and came up with four theories

1) Binocular didnt get up the hill last year - so why will he this year ? - 5/4 No thanks (remember the shocking record of favs under 4/1 with only one winning last year ) - not sure he will beat Punjabi again huge value

2) Loved the way that Gone to Lunch stayed on last year, far better than current fav What a Friend - 14s is huge

3) Forpaddydeplaster ran a blinder at the festival last year - Arkle price of 14s is huge - get on before Sunday

4) Roll Along stayed on really well in his race last year - could be a good thing for a handicap

Dont you throw those bloody betting spears at me

2009-01-22T14:18:00.000-08:00

Im Back- Time for Profit

At Last

2009-01-22T14:12:00.000-08:00

After my many near misses finally landed one - Bumper at Musselburgh go the Hunter - 23/1 thank you very much - not enough on but at last a decent win for the troops !!!

Going to have my first Cheltenham bet after watching last years festival
GONE TO LUNCH 14/1 £200 win - last year beat them all running on - AP loves him

The Cold spell is gone

2009-01-16T16:17:00.000-08:00

Well not for my punting, just cant get into it at all ! The winners aint flowing, the buzz just isnt there! Tomorrows racing is not great if your a punter as its odds on central all over the place - and we all know they cant all win !!! Master Minded heads up the racing with another 3 odds on shots on show. I havent joined the Master Minded band waggon yet, as I just think it is a very poor division at the moment with the two mile hurdlers just not stepping up as chasers - just becasue you have nothing to beat doesnt mean that you are a superstar.

Anyway I believe that Denman is struggling a bit to get fit, I cant see it even running at Cheltenham I am topping up my pension laying the 1.98 for a place at Cheltenham.

GOSSIP
Watch Calgarry Bay tomorrow, fantastic jumper - Lenny Lungo will have his horses fully fit in two weeks, Nicky cant fathom why his are not spot on yet , Ferdy has flu jabbed his Cheltenham horses.

Good luck chancers

Trafford Lad misses Cheltenham

2009-01-07T15:36:00.000-08:00

It seems that the owners are going to bypass Cheltenham this year with the highly talented Trafford Lad , preferring instead to pot hunt and wait another year for Cheltenham.

On another note Denman seems to be about due on a racecourse - I will be laying him wherever he turns up as he wont be the same horse again.

Jeepers creepers its cold !!!

2009-01-07T15:32:00.000-08:00

Just wanted to say how much I am enjoying my mid jump season Ice Cold holiday - we should have one every year as it doesnt half freshen you up !!! it will start again at Ayr on Saturday the 10th - where at last there has been some initiative shown by a racecourse in putting on an extra meeting.
May the great god of gambling hold clear as the "race to Cheltenham closes in"

The start of the downhill run to Cheltenham

2009-01-01T15:08:00.000-08:00

It comes round quickly but the Cheltenham festival is just 70 days away - the four day festival really is just 70 days away !!! As with any form of betting it comes down to me to select some tasty prices on ante - post selections so here goes

Sun Alliance Chase
Calgary Bay - 1pt win, 1pt place -16/1 William Hills
What a friend - 1pt win - 10/1 various
The Arkle
Osana - 2pts win - 16/1 various

and the biggest bet - is to lay Denman - win and place in the Gold Cup market - to a maximum bank.

Mid Season update

2008-12-20T12:34:00.000-08:00

No doubt that Nicky Henderson , Tim Vaughaun and Barry Geraghty are the heroes of the season so far, with the villains being the form of Paul Nicholls hotpots, Jonjo, Sam Thomas and his unseats and the unbelievable way in which the Northern novice hurdles are run, half of the field are not off !!! I have to say that I still cant get winners from certain yards with Howard Johnson, Nigel Twiston Davies and Phillip Hobbs

Punting High - the wonderous day when Wilson Renwick had a treble at Sedgefield - number 4 would have been worth 20k !!!

Punting Low - not backing Kangaroo Court when it won, too busy working arghhhhhh

Horse to follow - Three horses for me on this list, Chaser - Trafford Lad , Hurdler - Numide on soft ground and handicapper getting lined up for a punt - Mat Hill

I think that my Cheltenham fancies would be -
Champion Hurdle - Sizing Europe
Stayers Hurdle - Kasbah Bliss
Queen Mother - Master Minded
Sun Alliance - Trafford Lad
Supreme - Mad Max

and remember that horses under 4/1 have a shocking record at the festival !!!

Cheltenham Paddy Power Meeting

2008-11-16T12:48:00.000-08:00

The three day meeting marks the beginning of the jump season, with an unusual occurrence soft ground and a cracking meeting.

This week has already had a good start with a Lenny Lungo treble at Sedgefield and a cracking winner at Carlisle Skippers Brig. Its fantastic to see Wilson Renwick riding winners, cracking lad with great talent.

Cheltenham sees the start of the big guns and I am looking forward to seeing Tatenan, Numide, Bible Lord, Razor Royale and the potentially top class Giergio Quercus. The best bet of the three days is Numide on Sunday and with my past Cheltenham record will be my only winner (NUMIDE wins in style, above).

A quiet week abounds with Kelso the next stop on Friday.

the 4 day trip

2008-11-02T16:51:00.000-08:00

The four day trip to the Northern Tracks of Newcastle, Wetherby and Carlisle is over and a lot has been learned. The first is don’t stay at the Golden Lion in Leyburn , it is a shocker and I mean a shocker ! and the second is that four days is too long !

Day 1 - Newcastle

Enjoyable days racing with no real stand out stars on show, with the novice MILLSTREAM looking like a horse to follow.

Day 2 - Wetherby

The best of the Northern tracks, with a good set of horses on show, it is quieter day than the Saturday and I like the freedom to rome around. The horses to follow from the day is YES SIR, back to his best on fast ground will win again if the handicapper doesn’t murder him.

Day 3 – Wetherby

A few hefty price tags on show and yet again a Howard Johnson horse gets beat on his debut when backed as if defeat is out of the question, the nicest horse on show was the mare MY PETRA and the small STATE OF PLAY has won is only race of the season. PYSCHOMONDO is a top class horse from the Ascot meeting , he has a huge engine and will be seen to better effect going left handed. Missed a big price winner in the shape of SENTRY DUTY that signalled a retreat to the bar and more money down the drain !!!

Day 4 – Carlisle – a day to far for The Adman

I don’t like the card, I am cream crackered after a huge lack of sleep due to the rampaging children on the corridors of the Golden Lion and I should just watch and learn or back SHOREACRES at the away meeting. I lose a few quid and am that tired that I am not even that bothered !!! TIDAL BAY wins, but didn’t impress me in his physical looks and the way he carried his head – he would need to improve to win at Cheltenham for me.

Jumps Jumps Jumps

2008-10-23T14:42:00.000-07:00

Well the big guns are out already in the novice brigade up north with some big money buys showing clean pair of hooves to a few slow boats from the flat.

DOESLESSTHANME - bolted up at Kelso and Howard Johnson also unleashed DOOR BOY on the same card - the first named was fitter so the performance of DOOR BOY would take higher merit. KALAHARI KING won but was only 80% fit, didnt strike me as a chaser on shape and size and might struggle at the larger tracks when jumping is the key. DIAMOND HARRY looked classy when winning his first start over hurdles despite being badly hampered all the way from three out and STRIKING ARTICLE is the best chaser I have seen in the novice ranks.

The 4 day Northern Trip is nearly with us with NEWCASTLE , WETHERBY and CARLISLE seeing a visit from the ADMAN.

Jumps Season 2008

2008-10-09T15:21:00.000-07:00

Its back at last , some proper racing with loads more fun !

The first meeting at Kelso has been done with a really good bumper winner MCMURROUGH one to follow closely.

plenty more to come over the coming weeks

The last run to the line..................

2008-04-08T14:30:00.000-07:00

Well the biggest bet of my life has just until the 26th to run - can we find 9 winners from some very quiet stables ?

I am not hopeful but hope that some of the following will win and run well in April -

The Pious Prince - must have a race in him somewhere with fences maybe the making of him

Stand on Me - must pick up a race soon , the 2 mile chase in the north are quite at the moment

Rimsky Korshakov -who is now handicapped must pick up a race if he gets a mark around the 85 to 95 mark

Ballyvogue - will be Tony dobbins last winner - back to win a fortune

The Adman

Aintree day two

2008-04-03T15:40:00.000-07:00

Good day 1 with some nice winners and the two each way big prices running 2nd at 25/1 and 20/1 !

Day 2 :

You might think I am mad but Master Minded is a lay for me at 2/7 , 4furlongs up and needs a break of 30 days between races to run to his best in what is a virtual match VOR POR USTEDES must be a bet at 7.6 on BETFAIR.

I fancy TAZBAR but SOUFLEUR is a bet at 10/1 each way - will travel well enough to get out in running.

BLUE BAJAN is a must have each way bet against CAPTAIN CEE BEE at 12/1 , he will love the track and the better going.

MISTER TOP NOTCH is exactly that but at 4/1 I would rather be with BIBLE LORD at 12/1.

The best of the day though is the very smart YONDER in the mares bumper - she is very very useful and will be campaigned on the flat after her bumper runs

Todays Bets:

BIBLE LORD small stakes each way

BLUE BAJAN each way

YONDER win

Aintree

2008-04-02T14:58:00.001-07:00

I am for some reason really looking forward to Aintree far more than Cheltenham , I have an inkling I am about to win a few quid !

Peter Bowen and Howard Johnson's favorite meeting so watch the horses like

LENNON, SERABAD and SOUFLEUR

Day 1 :
Lots of Cheltenham horses following on , KAUTO STAR and INGLIS DREVER start day 1 what a double act - the double is about 5/2 but I dont fancy either of them - FRANCHOEK steps up in trip , I thought he had had enough at Cheltenham so must be a LAY.

Bets
SONEVUSHI and CHRISTY BEAMISH small stakes

DEV - Maximum E/W if the ground is good - will take some catching round there LENNON is the danger.

FAASEL loves the track and is a good E/W bet

and retrieval mission on COUNTY ZEN

DAY 2 has some big guns out BLUE BAJAN is motoring at home and SERABAD will win wherever he runs.

Hexham fun

2008-03-30T04:49:00.000-07:00

Well back after my financial woes of Cheltenham, it is time to have a good punt and where better than to start at the Hexham Puddle.

Today is a day that if you back favs at Hexham through the card I am sure you will struggle to come out on top.

Bets today

2.10 Lay Place and Win BANOGE - Lennies horses are running terrible and 7/4 is just no price
2.40 Lay win and place TOY GUN - struggles with his jumping and was out on his feet last Sunday 7/4 no price again
3.55 Lay win and Place SANTA STEFANO - dont like the horse esp on the ground EVS is a shocking price

I think there are a few other poor favs but the above is enough for the blog

Saturday 15th

2008-03-15T05:24:00.000-07:00

After Cheltenham there is only one thing to do, get back on the horse and get back to what you know - backing horses to trade in running and losers !!!

Bet to Trade -
Best Prospect 9/1, lay to get stake back and very low after the last
Busker Royal 9/1, lay to get stake back and mid lay after the last
Harry Flashman 9/1, lay to get stake back and very low lay after the last
Herne Bay 33/1 lay to get stake back at 3.1 then smaller lay after two and towards last

Win bet - Cripsey Brook and thrown in horse if they are bothering Film festival 5.35 Newcastle

The Calm after the storm

2008-03-15T05:03:00.000-07:00

After the greatest three days racing ever and the AD MAN licking his financial wounds here are a few thoughts -

The age and finishing Stats didnt stand up this year with fine performances from Master Minded, Inglis Drever and Katchit defying stats and proving their undoubted talent.
Cheltenhams greatest stat stood up again though !
The Under 4/1 fav losers were out in force:
Kauto Star (evs), Franchoek (11/10), Ashkazar (15/8), Noland (7/4), Sizing Europe (2/1), Wonderkid (5/2), Vor Por ustedes (5/2), The Listener (10/3), Dont Push It (5/2), Zaarito (3/1), Chumba Wumba (10/3), My Petra (3/1)

13 Qualifiers - 12 Losers 4 Unplaced , 1 winner Inglis Drever 11/8 Win

The performance though of the week was DENMAN - simply the best I have seen - POWER and Stride are just unbelievable - I have to see him in the flesh at some point.

Key Notes:
Bad week at the office for Noel Meade and Philip Hobbs two outstanding trainers had very quiet meetings.
Good week at the office for Alan King, Paul Nicholls and Howard Johnson

best Ride of the week was AP McCoy on Refinement , and my unluckiest moment of the week
The hold upjockeys had many poor rides with two top Irish lads having some interesting moments - the difference in pace and ground left a few nearly moments.

next year double on paper

Cheltenham is coming and here are the fancies

2008-03-09T06:27:00.000-07:00

After a gusty wet day at Ayr when racing probably should of been off , the kitty is still intact and the Cheltenham fancies abound - the cards are done and the tips are here.

Day 1:
The day is the starting point of many dreams and I usually know my fate for the week after the first few races.

Supreme Novice -
Top class race to start the meeting and as usual the Brits v the Irish - I have come down on the side of two horses - KHYBER KIM and SENTRY DUTY the best of the Irish likely to be CORK ALL STAR

Arkle -
NOLAND is a stand out bet with the best each way choice MOON OVER MIAMI

Champion Hurdle -
I really like OSANA in the race and if the ground is quick HARCHIBALD will travel like the winner and get out with a lay as 9 yr olds dont win the Champion Hurdle

Day 2:
Ballymore Novice
The Ballymore Novice is a cracker of a race and although I love FORPADDYDEPLASTER I think that TRAFFORD LAD will be my selection

Coral Cup
LEG SPINNER is thrown in but I really like CLARNAZAR and ORBIT O GOLD at prices - interestingly the Irish dont seem to have many thrown well handicapped horses this year for the chases or hurdles

National Hunt Chase
BEANTOWN is my next best bet of the meeting as he has both race and course form and bolted up last time

Bumper
APT APPROACH and ZAARITO are both the horses to beat in the bumper with nothing between them on form

Day 3:

The Racing Post Plate
BIBLE LORD is well handicapped and is the third best bet of the week , my only doubts being extremes in ground conditions.

Pertemps Final
BACKBORD on good ground will be the best bet of the week on anything but that , he will be a leave alone

Day 4:
Never a day that I do well on so I will be watching DENMAN, ASHKAZAR,CARUTHERS and COUNTY ZEN

Short priced double:

DENMAN and NOLAND

YANKEE:
KHYBER KIM, BIBLE LORD, BEANTOWN, BACKBORD

Post Cheltenham Blues

2008-03-03T09:56:00.000-08:00

There is no doubt that there are certain weeks of the year that make you miserable, and the pre Cheltenham week week is as they say a shocker. There is nothing to grow into across the week with the likes of Wolverhampton , Lingfield and Stratford hardly getting the juices flowing ! even the northern meetings pale into insignificance as we wait for next Tuesday an the roar of the Irish, the Guinness tent, the Arkle Bar , the tones of Simon Holt and the expectation of can I get myself in front over the four days?. The head down heart break of Juveigneiur and Character Building as they both dont quite get up coupled with the winning feeling of Cloudy Lane and Katchit, I wouldnt swop it for the world. Long after I have left this mortal coil horses will be winning gold cups and champion hurdles and until the day I die I will be spending four days watching the greatest event in the world. Just 8 nights to go .....................................

Friday and Saturday

2008-02-29T03:49:00.000-08:00

Kelso on Saturday will see plenty of action from various yards again I am keeping most of my powder dry for Cheltenham festival but across the next two days the following horses should run well.

Doncaster Friday 3.05 - The 10 yr old BIG BERTHA is well in on all ratings with a professional jockey on top , could be a good bit of placing by Micky Hammond.

Kelso Saturday - Rimsky Korsakov is a lovely horse but will probably have it all on to beat the impressive Los Nadis. Circassian will run a lot better than his last run as he cannot go Right handed, with the stable under a cloud though he will probably be a leave alone. The top class Lennon runs but will surely struggle against two well weighted rivals in First Look and KILMACKILOGUE.
MR CRYSTAL warms up for the FRED WINTER at the festival and will run well perhaps without winning .

And finally the first bet of the festival is BACKBEAT in the Pertemps Final 8/1 is a huge price a fighter and a stayer - huge chance.

Boom Boom from The Racewatcher

2008-02-22T08:20:00.000-08:00

Top tip from the Racewatcher, MYTHICAL AIR is a bet in the 7 . 20 at Wolverhampton the big prices have gone so some drift will follow - working well and is better than this class

Ayr 21st February

2008-02-21T02:43:00.001-08:00

Sadly I am not going today - off to Aberdeen for some unknown reason to do some work !

Some chances today on horses noted that I thought would come on for their last runs
3 10 Ayr, I thought was a weak race and that depending on the paddock view that both MERIGO and STAND ON ME should run.
4.50 Ayr, I think that KATUPULT will be far too short to bet but FISHING INSTRUCTOR is a huge price and will carry each way money.

Cold Cold Cold

2008-02-18T12:33:00.000-08:00

Its freezing again, cold cold at least the jockeys can get a well earned rest!!!!

Of the update horses Standin Obligation ran well at Kelso, a good 2nd, will kick on to better races as the season goes on and perhaps even the Kim Muir at Cheltenham. Desert Rat ran a blinder at Musselburgh 16/1 3rd, will win at a small track when emphasis is on speed not stamina.

Howard Johnson will send Tidal Bay to the Sun Alliance and although some of his team are under a cloud the impressive Kealshore Boy and Striking Ambition are still well on course for the festival. Watch out for Treacle Moon when she runs as she will have an each way chance wherever sited in a handicap.

Peter Monteith's Sinatas ran a great race in first time handicap country and despite hating the ground and jumping average nearly won - expect a good run in about 3 weeks. Quiciyo just needed his last run at Kelso (4th) and is still rated topclass.

Kelso Valentines Day

2008-02-14T05:29:00.000-08:00

Short and sweet -

three to look at QUICIYO - lovely horse weak race , top class for the future and BERWICK LAW will today be the day ? but the only bet is 1pt win 1pt place STANDIN OBLIGATION

Musselburgh 13th February

2008-02-12T14:16:00.000-08:00

A lot of very short priced favs again for the punters/layers to back or lay - as usual the question will be how many of these so called good things can win?

Middleton Dene is likely to go off a short priced fav in the first and could be a lay with a double penalty- LOGANS RUN is top class and cost a fortune so could be the likely victor. HALLA SAN was mighty impressive last time he won at Musselburgh and if reproducing that form will take the beating. I dont however like betting Fahey horses odds on, and it took a canny Graham Lee to coax this character home. Bet or Lay ? The key is to look for the huge paddock tell on Fahey
horses , if the long paddock rug stays on until the last possible moment in the ring - it's a hit the lay button.

Honest toil at Ayr

2008-02-10T11:21:00.001-08:00

A couple of good meetings this week with good profit at both Musselburgh and Ayr- in truth it wasnt from backing winners !!!

Highlight's of the week have included two lays in three days of NEVER SO BLUE of Venetia Williams and taking my profit on BLUE BAJAN in the Tote Trophy.

Paddock watching has been interesting this week with the padock watchers getting caught out by the looks of a few winners and improver's notably DIGITAL MEDIA and CAMPANERO- it seems that the paddock is not giving many clues at the moment.

On to WETHERBY, NEWCASTLE, MUSSELBURGH and KELSO with a few horses to watch, ALL OUT FOR SEVEN, DESERT RAT and GRATTON LODGE.

Best ride I have seen in ages and the kid gets 10 days off!!

2008-02-01T16:27:00.000-08:00

I have never in my life been so annoyed about a stewards decision as I am today at Catterick. I have seen the jockey Wilson Renwick ride the hugely tempremental PRIMUS INTER PARUS to victory in a cracking 2m 3 f race , cajoeling, pushing, and prodding a horse that has a mind of his own to readily outscore Flake. The stewards have not only given the jockey 3 days for interference but also 7 further days for slapping a horse down the neck and excessive use of the whip.
10 DAYS !!! Denis O Reagan got 14 days for riding a finish a circuit early - how can the punishment be similar. The worst part is that Wilson Renwick did nothing wrong and has been the victim of the old school getting one over the younger brigade, in fact you could argue that the ride was up there with any ride of the month given by At The Races. The thing that sticks in the throat is that on a moody horse in shocking conditions the stewards have penalised someone for trying his best and performing to his best ability, in that weather you can only say that the stewards have not the first time given Renwick a rough time.

I applaud the comments of the trainer Noel Wilson who went out of his way to tell the viewers on Racing UK that "Wilson is the second best jockey in the North with only Graham Lee being his superior.....I cant believe that more trainers do not use him"

It is obvious to me that some jockeys are lucky and some not, and after losing numerous rides to lost meetings I just hope that the 10 days off do not see Wilson losing many potential winners. My final message to the stewards is simple -if you genuinely think that you made the correct decision then no wonder you cant get your expenses right.

The Ad Mans Northern horses to follow

2008-01-31T14:51:00.000-08:00

I am enjoying the racing at the moment, and cannot wait for the northern swing to get going - jumps meetings full of northern horses with some hand picked gambles ready to pluck the funds from fellow Betfair punters! I have seen many horses in the last 6 months in the flesh and these are the impressive horses to follow.

Howard Johnson has assembled a fantastic team and the big three to follow from his stable are :
Tidal Bay, Kealshore Boy and Striking Ambition - all three will win top class races and have already proved that if you can afford the purchase price sometimes you will buy class acts.

Lenny Lungo has had a very quiet year and I would expect a few fire works as the year goes on, I fully expect the classy Berwick Law to win a good handicap, All Out For Seven a bumper and I expect Wild Cane Ridge to win a really good handicap.

Peter Monteith is having a fantastic year and the class of horse at Whitebog Farm is the best yet. Sinatas will win a handicap over 2m 4f , Quiciyo is potentially the best horse in the yard and the talented Los Nadis will continue to win races. Of the David Johnson horses there is a huge belief in the yard that Standin Obligation is an ideal type for the Scottish National.

Lucinda Russell and Peter Scudamore have been seen at most northern meetings and I have no doubt that the "Scu" influence is bringing better horses and more staying power - Quws Law is the horse to watch .

I have been a bit surprised with the Nicky Richards team this year, maybe its the Rose Davidson influence or the wind down of Tony Dobbin but I feel like they are under achieving. They have some big owners and of the stars According to John, Turpins Green and Monets Garden have all shown semblance of their obvious huge talent this year. I cannot however give a horse that has taken my breath away, with only Money Trix (and I didnt see that in the flesh ) and Viking Rebel staying in my focus.

It is the first year I haven't owned a horse for about 7 years and my old stable Micky Hammond has a mixed set of horses, some are very slow (Micky is very good at picking races for them) but there is a good mix of ex Flat horses and some nice ex Tom Costello horses like La Pantera Rosa and Four Franks. I have two real dark horse's though Desert Rat - will win a handicap and I fully expect Swains Bridge to win a seller before the year end.

I have seen two quality bumper horses this year in the North, Katapult of Alan Swinbank's and the lovely mare of Dudley Moffat's Lets Go Girls.

February Stats and Trainers to back/avoid !

2008-01-31T05:23:00.000-08:00

I love February for racing as the big stables start preparing for the two big festivals. This leads to certain horses from certain stables running with similar consistency, year after year. I have listed my own stats on certain stables and races to avoid in February.

STABLES to BACK :
N Henderson
T Easterby
T George

Ones to back by race :
N Henderson , P Webber and V Williams NOVICE CHASERS
P Webber, R Guest HCAP CHASERS

Ones to avoid:
C Mann - Nov Hcap Chasers

Welcome to the Northern Swing

2008-01-29T14:36:00.000-08:00

Well it is finally here the Northern Swing as I call it with racing in the north on numerous days to visit - with the weather the way it is you just never know when though !

30th Jan - Newcastle, 1st Feb - Catterick, 2nd Feb -Doncaster and Wetherby, 3rd Feb - Musselburgh ***, 4th Feb - Hexham ***, 5th Feb - Sedgefield, 6th Feb - Carlisle, 9th Feb - Ayr ***, 11th Feb -Wetherby, 12th Feb - Newcastle, 13th Feb - Musselburgh, *** 14th Feb - Kelso ***, 18th Feb -Carlisle, 19th Feb - Sedgefield, 21st Feb - Ayr,23rd Feb - Newcastle.

Now the trick is always to take a profit so we will see how the month goes with a little help from The Fisherman, The Guru and the Race Watcher ! Good luck to all the Inside the Stable track team ! and of course the 6 or 7 horses that are now handicapped !!!
*** - will be venturing forth- rain and god willing !

Saturday 26th January

2008-01-25T16:41:00.000-08:00

THE AD MAN has a Saturday shocker !!!

A competitive days racing at two of the best jump courses in the UK , what more could you ask for on a Saturday ! The best value on the Cheltenham card is the improving FAASEL in the 2.40, his form behind Tamarinbleu gives him a huge chance at around 16/1 2pts win 4 pts place if all eight run. RESULT : Faasel never travelled an inch and the horse that was pulled up in the Tamarinbleu race won the race , the ground can be the only problem as he was backed from 25s to 12s !

The highly impressive LUXURIX needs to win this to go on to the TOTE GOLD TROPHY and will carry a good investment at around 4/1 - 3pts win RESULT: Jumped well but didnt finish his race .
Over at Doncaster with the wind drying out the course a small bet on the well weighted ITS MOON at around 20/1 will be had in the 1.20 , with a follow up win and place bet on the classy STANDIN OBLIGATION who is working very well at home and seems back to his early form for David Pipe. RESULT : Hated the track and ran accordingly !
The best bet of the day and a near maximum investment is THEATRE GIRL 6 pts win in the 1.55 who ran the hugely impressive KHYBER KIM to 3 lengths last time , the best form in the race and is not even favorite ! RESULT: Theatre Girl was just outpointed by Chumba Wumba , better jockey won the race.
Remember the key on the value bets is to trade in running to lock in profit !

THE GURU Cracks a Double !!!
JP McManus can complete a short price double at Prestbury Park with AIGLE D'OR(1.00) WON 7/4 and FRANCHOEK(3.15) WON 11/8. I hope Freddie Williams has taken his deep satchel with him.
PADDOCK POINTER - On his only defeat at Prestbury Park FRANCHOEK constantly swished his tail in the pre parade and paddock.

The Bridal Horse double...........................! Friday 25th January

2008-01-24T14:32:00.000-08:00

Two divisions of a novice hurdle and two of my favorite back to lay horses are short priced market leaders. In BLUE BAJAN (LEFT) 12.50 we have a horse that is top class with a top pilot - will I be playing at 8/11 ? - probably not !!! He will win and even I cant put up a lay even at 1.21 ! Sneek the 20s in the TOTE TROPHY before the race though. The second division sees the enigmatic BEST PROSPECT return to the
track , at around 13/8 he is not a win bet ! Is there anything that can beat him ?or at least take him on inside the final furlong when he will pull up in front ? I am not sure but there will be a lay bet in running - as he will stop !!! it might just be after the line though !!!

The 3.05 was a really good race, one to watch again and get your notebook out ROSBAY, HI NOD, AUREATE, AYPEEYES, KENTUCKY BOY(NOT knocked about HCAP MARK), SONGE(WINS WELL), QUICK WILL (MUSSELBURGH TYPE) , GALLANT NUIT (NICE EFFORT STAYING ON FROM THE REAR) will all be worth watching.

3 pt win TOTE GOLD TROPHY - BLUE BAJAN 20/1
RESULT: Wins easily and is now 12/1 for TOTE TROPHY

Lay in running 5pts at 1.31 BEST PROSPECT
RESULT:Not matched

Musselburgh 23rd January

2008-01-22T08:02:00.000-08:00

At last some racing up north , and I would imagine a potential day of shocks on ground that will be at worst very slow !!! The racing is the usual fair with typical handcaps mixed with a couple of useful novice hurdles.

The best race to view is the 2.30 with some really useful horses running with many intentions!
ALONG THE NILE is the top weight with a double penalty, and this horse has plenty of class and could still be on the improve his welterweight of 12.4 must however stop him against some useful flat performers - the most noted is a lovely horse called KERRIMUIR LASS with Mick Fitzgerald booked on a rare visit to Musselburgh. This horse runs well from the front and has schooled well and would be a bet if looking well at something like 7 or 8 to 1. Others to note would be Veiled Applause, Compromizenotension and the useful Halla San.
Result - HALLA SAN won the race and looked very well in the paddock and was well backed, Kerrimuir Lass was in need of the run and drifted out to 12s on Betfair it was no Bet.

The favourite backers will be out in force in the first race (1.00) with a likely short price in IM DELILAH a horse that was running ok at Kelso when coming down , I think there will be something to beat her and I like the look of LA VECHIA SCHIOLA who gets the 4 yr old allowance - she beat the very useful Mr Crystal at Catterick. She was well beaten last time after a huge mistake at the second , Scottish owned and cost a few bob after her Catterick win she will be tough to beat.
Im Delilah drifted like a barge and LA VECHIA SCHIOLA ran quite well to be 3rd at around 8/1 - losing her race on the bend.

The 1.30 is only just better than a seller and I expect the favourite to run well PERTEMPS NETWORK (WON 6/4)who wasnt knocked about last time. The 2.00 is a typical handicap and I wont be playing, but I will be entertained all day by the lovely guys and girls of RADIO FORTH who sponsor the race -so I hope the rain stays off for the paddock view and best turned out award !

The 3.00 and 3.30 are again tough handicaps , I will take a look in the paddock and maybe find a back or lay . The bumper will be a good watch and I believe that there are a few very nice horses SPELL CHECKER, WIPE YOUR EYE and NEW DANCER but two at huge prices will be HONEST MAN (Looked well and ran a blinder in 6th) and OVER THE BORDER ( LOOKED POOR) a paddock inspection will tell me what I need to know.

Not a betting card for me , I will enjoy my day out and keep my stakes low.
BET - 1pt win KERRIMUIR LASS at 7.0 or better with a view to lay to take a profit RESULT NO BET AS NEEDED THE RUN.
BET - 1 pt win LA VEICHIA SCHIOLA at 4.5 or better. RESULT 3rd at Each WAY Price

Saturday Nap

2008-01-19T03:44:00.000-08:00

THE RACE READER
Todays best bet is BINOCULAR 12.35 Ascot 2pts win - Hendersons Triumph Hurdle Horse
RESULT WON 6/4 - Doing handstands - 25/1 to 8/1 for Triumph Hurdle

THE AD MAN
Small each way on PENZANCE 1.10 Ascot 0.5 pts e/w
RESULT Pulled Up

It is a quiet week for going racing !

2008-01-15T02:08:00.000-08:00

Not a lot on this week with the only northern meeting being at Newcastle on Wednesday , and alas some of us have to work ! The next couple of weeks will be quiet before a busy spell up north, with all the cancelled meetings perhaps the BHB will put a few extra meetings on - I doubt it mind !

John the Moles Saturday Nap

2008-01-12T05:17:00.000-08:00

2pt win 2 pt Place
1.45 Kempton

Get on the General Lee - GO AMWELL RESULT 4th (The fate of all good each ways)
Back in the place market pre race then in running with four to jump as he comes from behind !
At 4 to jump GO AMWELL touched 50s on Betfair and then got as low as 2.31 - profit there for some !

Kelso Friday the 11th January

2008-01-11T01:20:00.000-08:00

I am excited , the first race at 12.40 sees the hurdles debut of BEST PROSPECT owned by a really nice guy Davy Neale , this horse travels like an express train and then sometimes disappoints. This is a classy race with the well touted CHARLIE TOKYO, STARTING POINT and the classy future chaser BERWICK LAW in opposition. The long run in at Kelso will be ideal for sitting and wait tactics for this quality hold up performer from the flat, with ground in his favour he is a good bet at double figure odds . The horse must however be laid in running to get out a profit as he will come there swinging on the bridal but might just not find anything !- 3pts win at 11.0 or better with lay for 8 pts at 1.21 in running. RESULT 2nd at 9/1 bet at 14.5 , lay in running matched at 1.31

The More Battle hurdle is a good race with plenty in with chances , the recent runners at Ayr STORYMAKER and FIRST LOOK might both be running too quick but I did think that STORYMAKER might be tempting at a double figure price if looking well in the paddock- I thought he just needed at Ayr and was pulled up and not knocked about. STORYMAKER NON RUNNER

The last race looks a good bumper with TEENAGE KICKS looking like a good horse but I will be looking at an each way bet on the Moffat horse in the same race as he ran a blinder on his debut at Haydock LETS GO GIRLS.
RESULT: LETS GO GIRLS wins 10/1

7 Losing favs at Musselburgh would you believe it !

2008-01-09T09:56:00.000-08:00

The packed stands at Musselburgh
applaud Nina Carberry as she legs
it back to the warmth !

7 Losing favs - a layers heaven !!!

Firstly I am gutted , didnt play as I should today with the big desperate ground from the 3 furlong pole to the line at Musselburgh meaning that many horses would not run to form. It was one of those days where I should have taken a barrel load of money away but I bet scared. Four great lays !!! and guess what only made £50 !

race 2 SUALDA was a lay as couldnt go on the ground , 1.78 on the win market and 1.21 on the place . race 3 MODICUM no form on the ground hinderance in the saddle 1.55 in the win market and 1.17 in the place race 4 the big lay FUSHE JO walks like me after a night out , crab like could not go on the ground !!! I got greedy and didnt get my bet matched in running at 1.45 even though 1.55 was matched !!! DIGITAL MEDIA in the place market again didnt get matched , couldnt run a race after its hard race at AYR only 8 days ago on shocking ground. SCALE BANK wasnt a bet at the price and again looked ill at ease on the ground on the way to the post and at 4/6 it was no BET !!!
So instead of winning some good money I won a few pennies ! moral of this story is to bet like you can afford to lose not protect your bank !!! at least the Guru and the Fisherman made a few quid !!

Musselburgh on a Wet Wednesday

2008-01-08T14:09:00.000-08:00

A truly uninspiring card at Musselburgh awaits the trusted set of Northern Regulars, at this stage the only bet on paper is SCALE BANK in the Bumper . This well regarded type ran a blinder on his race course introduction at Southwell last year and at odds of 2/1 to 7/2 would be a bet - if it drifts longer than that then its physical condition will be viewed in the paddock. There is one potential lay on the card and that is FUSHE JO in the 2.10 and all will depend on odds and assessment of the opposition. This horse seems to run sideways under pressure and I am not sure that he will be anything but a lay.

SCALE BANK - no bet at the price 4/6 !!!
FUSHE JO - LAY 4/6 Winner

John the Moles Sedgefield Nap

2008-01-08T05:02:00.000-08:00

The only bet at the track is GARDASEE in the 2.pm 1pt win
RESULT WON matched at 5.1

Tote Ten to Follow , The Kybermen seek transfer inspiration !

2008-01-05T14:37:00.000-08:00

The transfer window is approaching for the Tote Ten to Follow, and The Kybermen have in place a cracking list currently in 134th Place.

The ten horse list includes My Way De Solzen, Vor Por Ustedes, Kauto Star, Denman, Osana, Nickname, Blazing Bailey, Katchit, Lantartique and Tidal Bay covering many races but with the need for some surprises to catch the lists in front. So what will The Kybermen do ? well the thought is that a Grand National horse is needed and potentially a horse to cover the AIG Champion Hurdle Trial but which horses will go ? Do the guys take a chance with taking out My Way Solzen or look at Lantartique as reaching its potential already ? Well by Friday 12th all will be deicded - thinking caps time me thinks !

Alastair The Fishermans Saturday Nap

2008-01-05T04:20:00.000-08:00

The first race at Wincanton sees a potential bet in TIMPO of Henry Daly's , at around the 9/2 price win and around 1.98 a place on Betfair the bet is 1 pt win at 5.2 or better and 1 pt place at 1.9 or better. RESULT 4th Traded at 1.61 in running on the win market so profit available.

Alan Shearer asks Lenny about the Newcastle job ?

2008-01-02T15:42:00.001-08:00

Alan Shearer went to Ayr races to see his horse Akilak run third, he did well to stay away from Newcastle's St James Park where his beloved Newcastle were beaten by Svens Manchester City.

Wednesday 2nd January

2008-01-02T15:04:00.000-08:00

Russell Lands the Spoils !!!

On a grey and damp day Lucinda Russell landed a double via two of her best horses - Quws Law and Master Sebastian and even Alan Shearer turned up !

Quws Law seems destined for better things as he stayed on well to win the 2 mile 4f Novice Hurdle, beating the matched at 1.01 in running favourite Viking Rebel on the line. This seemed a really good novice with all the first three horses home well worth following, Banoge and Quws Law seem set to star over further trips.

Lungo team set for good run
Lenny Lungo and stable jockey Wilson Renwick went home happy as their stable star Wild Cane Ridge bolted up in the 2 m 4f hurdle, making all the top weight seemed to enjoy the front running tactics and the local crowd went wild as he jumped the last to land the odds at 9/2. All of Lungo's horses ran well on the card and future winners seem certain with Villon (also top weight) just being outpointed on his return to the track after three years away by the stongly fancied Master Sebestian, and Delightfully running a nice race in the opening Novice Hurdle.

Horse's to Follow : Villon, Wild Cane Ridge, Quws Law

January 2nd Ayr

2008-01-01T12:52:00.000-08:00

Tony on tour 1st day racing in 2008

Very heavy ground at Ayr a fair few lays will decide on track, here are my fancies after studying the races.

Ayr 12.40
Lay - Bayonx - Loser

Ayr 1.10
Kirkside Pleasure Pulled Up

Ayr 1.40
Banoge Max Each way bet at 6/1 + 3rd 8/1 early price
Lay Viking Rebel win and Place 2nd Win Lay Landed at 1.87

Ayr 2.10
Soubriquet Each way bet at 6/1 + 2nd Ran a cracker

Ayr 2.45 No bet

Ayr 3.15
Storymaker No bet too short at 7/4

Ayr 3.45
Doris Gift 3rd

Todays Bets:
Bets: Banoge , Soubriquet
Each way Double

Lays will depend on odds - Bayonx and Viking Rebel to £200

Roughly level on day - no damage done anyway !

2008 a year Inside the Stable

2007-12-31T11:45:00.001-08:00

Well here we go into 2008 with the Inside the Stable Northern Racing Diary.

No horses owned anymore and the bulk of what we put in place will be Northern Based race visits but the aim as always is to make a profit from Racing and any other useful betting opportunities.

As the saying goes You Reap What You Sew